← SGCCC Abyssal Heaven season Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at SGCCC Abyssal Heaven season Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1405
· median 1405
· range 1405–1405
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1105
Q1 1215
Q3 1404
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 27.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Water Genbu | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
